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With the help of the Opta supercomputer, we provide our Premier League match predictions for every game in each gameweek of the 2025-26 season.
Once again, the Opta supercomputer will be with us every step of the way this season, with the projection model providing you with data-backed predictions for all Premier League matches and season outcomes.
Our AI-powered supercomputer proved rather prescient in 2024-25 and will no doubt attract plenty of eyeballs throughout 2025-26 as we enjoy another thrilling instalment of the Premier League.
Read on as Opta Analyst provides its Premier League match predictions for the upcoming matchday of 2025-26.
Matchday 24
The Opta supercomputer has delivered its match predictions for another round of fixtures, as the Premier League action continues to come thick and fast in the 2025-26 season.
There was a major twist at the top of the table on Matchday 23, as Arsenal fell to a 3-2 defeat at home to Michael Carrick’s resurgent Manchester United, with their lead over rivals Manchester City and Aston Villa now standing at four points.
Having taken maximum points against Man City and Arsenal in Carrick’s two games in interim charge, Man Utd are in the driver’s seat in the race for UEFA Champions League qualification, with Liverpool slipping up again versus Bournemouth last week. Chelsea split those old rivals after another win under new boss Liam Rosenior, while every team from seventh-placed Fulham to Sunderland in 11th are within two wins of the top four.
At the bottom, both West Ham and Nottingham Forest have found form at the same time, with Nuno Espírito Santo’s side winning back-to-back games but still sitting five points adrift of safety.
Matchday 24 will see games played across Saturday, Sunday and Monday in another bumper weekend of football.
There are a trio of 3pm kick-offs on Saturday, with Arsenal in action as they visit in-form Leeds United, who have never won a home Premier League match against a team sitting top of the table.
Chelsea then host West Ham in a London derby, before Liverpool welcome Newcastle United to Anfield for a Saturday evening blockbuster that could have a huge impact on the European race.
Man Utd will look to continue their perfect start under Carrick when they host Fulham in one of Sunday’s early matches, while Aston Villa take on Brentford. Sunday’s late game features another title-chasing side, as Man City visit struggling Tottenham.
Sunderland and Burnley then face off on Monday night, with the two sides having had very different experiences in the top flight since they were promoted from the Championship together last season.
Here, we check out the Opta supercomputer’s match predictions ahead of another exciting group of Premier League fixtures.
Premier League Predictions Matchday 24: The Quick Hits
- Chelsea are the Opta supercomputer’s most confident pick ahead of Matchday 24, with the Blues defeating West Ham in 69.1% of pre-match predictions.
- Arsenal are the most likely away victors, but their title rivals, Villa and Man City are also expected to earn three points.
- Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace is deemed the most likely draw, with the Eagles having never won a Premier League match between the sides.
Saturday 31 January
Brighton & Hove Albion are just two places and three points behind Everton and, given the congested nature of the table, neither will feel they’re out of the European picture.
They face off in one of Saturday’s 3pm games, with the Seagulls favoured by our predictive model at 51.8% to the visitors’ 23.6%. The remaining 24.6% of pre-match simulations finished all square.
However, Brighton are winless in their last five home league games against Everton (D2 L3), since a 3-2 victory in October 2019.
And since the start of December, only the Premier League’s bottom two teams have earned fewer points than the Seagulls’ eight. They’ve only won once in 10 league games in this time, with that victory coming against Burnley.
However, Burnley (68) and Wolves (70) are the only two teams to have had fewer shots on target this campaign than Everton (72), so David Moyes’ team might need to be solid at the back again – they’ve kept five clean sheets in their last six away Premier League games (W4 D1 L1).
Arsenal still lead the title race by four points, but Mikel Arteta’s team are wobbling a little ahead of their trip to Leeds United, having gone three Premier League games without a victory (D2 L1).
They could suffer consecutive Premier League defeats for the first time since December 2023, but rounded off a perfect league-phase campaign in the Champions League by beating Kairat 3-2 on Wednesday, and the omens are on their side against Leeds.
Indeed, Arsenal have won their last six league games against Leeds by an aggregate score of 20-5, also scoring four or more goals in eight different Premier League fixtures against them – including a 5-0 win in August’s reverse fixture.
And Leeds have never won a home Premier League game against the team starting the day top of the table (D7 L7). They’ve lost all three such matches against Arsenal, going down 4-1 in September 2002, 4-1 in November 2003 and 1-0 in October 2022.
Daniel Farke’s side are unbeaten in their last five home league games, though (W3 D2), last enjoying a longer run in the same top-flight campaign between March and May 2021 (6).
However, the supercomputer still makes them big outsiders with a 15.3% chance of victory and an 18.1% hope of a draw. Arsenal’s 66.6% win probability is the largest of any away team on MD24.
From the leaders to the bottom club now, and the last of the 3pm kick-offs pits Wolves (27.1%) against Bournemouth (49%) at Molineux.
Rob Edwards’ side suffered their first defeat of 2026 last weekend, going down 2-0 at Man City, though they have kept clean sheets in back-to-back home games.
This is their longest such streak since a four-match run in April-May 2023, having conceded in all 11 of their home league games between May and December, shipping 26 goals in total.
Bournemouth, meanwhile, have won two of their last three top-flight games (D1) following an 11-match winless run. Both victories have come by 3-2 scorelines, and with 90th-minute winners (against Tottenham and Liverpool).
Later on Saturday, Chelsea host West Ham at Stamford Bridge, with both teams looking to make it three wins on the bounce in the Premier League.
Chelsea have won their last four matches in all competitions, and are deemed the most likely victors this weekend, triumphing in 69.1% of the supercomputer’s simulations to West Ham’s 13.6%.
The Blues have won their last four league games against West Ham by an aggregate score of 15-2. Overall, they’ve scored 109 goals against the Hammers in the Premier League.
And West Ham have won just one of their last 19 top-flight away games against Chelsea (D4 L14), losing each of the last five.
Nuno’s side have also won their last two league games, as many wins as they had managed in their previous 18 (D5 L11) – they last won three straight in December 2023.
Saturday’s action rounds off with an intriguing clash at Anfield, with Liverpool in desperate need of a win after their last-gasp loss to Bournemouth last weekend.
Arne Slot’s side are winless in their last five league games, though did thrash Qarabag 6-0 in the Champions League ahead of welcoming Newcastle United, who have failed to score in their previous two Premier League outings.
The Reds could fail to win each of their opening six league fixtures in a calendar year for the first time since 1954 (first 10), but are given a 52.4% chance of victory, with Newcastle’s hopes of three points sitting at 23.3%. A fifth draw of 2026 for Liverpool sits at 24.3%.
Liverpool have a good record against Newcastle, going unbeaten in their last 18 top-flight meetings (W13 D5), and a win this weekend would secure a 12th Premier League double over the Magpies, having dramatically won 3-2 in the reverse fixture in August.
Newcastle, who drew 1-1 with Paris Saint-Germain on Wednesday, have failed to win any of their last 29 away league games against Liverpool (D5 L24), their joint-longest winless run against an opponent in their history (also Man Utd between 1973 and 2012).
Sunday 1 February
Onto Sunday’s action, and Aston Villa (60.8%) and Brentford (18.6%) go head to head at Villa Park.
Villa have never lost in 10 previous home league games against Brentford (W4 D6), the most they’ve ever faced a side without defeat.
They did lose their last outing on home soil 1-0 to Everton, but they’ve not lost consecutive home league games since February 2024.
That doesn’t bode well for Brentford – only Wolves (9) have lost more top-flight away games than the Bees (8) this season.
And Keith Andrews’ team will have to be wary of Ollie Watkins, who has scored six goals in seven Premier League matches against his former club.
Meanwhile, Michael Carrick will be looking to continue his solid start at Manchester United when they host Fulham.
Including his first spell in 2021, Carrick has won 10 points in four league matches (W3 D1), and he’s expected to add three more to his tally here. The supercomputer gives United a 51.7% chance of victory, with Fulham coming out on top in 23.7%.
The Red Devils have lost just one of their last 20 Premier League games against the Cottagers (W15 D4), but, after a 1-1 draw in the reverse fixture, Fulham are looking to win at least a point in both top-flight matches with United for the first time since 2003-04.
Marco Silva’s side are in good form and have earned as many points in their last eight league games (17 – W5 D2 L1) as they managed in their first 15 (W5 D2 L8).
However, United are unbeaten in six league games (W3 D3), their longest such streak since January-February 2022 (eight).
In the last of the early kick-offs on Sunday, Crystal Palace will look to end their eight-match winless streak in the league away to Nottingham Forest.
Only Burnley (14) are currently on a longer run without a victory, and since MD16, the Eagles have won the fewest points (2), scored the fewest goals (4) and lost the most games (6) in the Premier League.
Forest are unbeaten in their last six top-flight home matches against Palace, and have looked strong in recent games, boosting their hopes of safety. They’ve won seven points in their last three league games (W2 D1), more than in the previous eight combined (6 – W2 L6).
Forest are expected to win again this weekend, with a 43.1% chance to Palace’s 30.2%, but at 26.7%, this is also the likeliest match to draw on MD24.
Sunday’s late game is a big one, with Thomas Frank’s beleaguered Tottenham in need of a positive result, while Manchester City are aiming to stay on Arsenal’s coattails in the title race.
Both enjoyed positive Champions League outings in midweek, with City sneaking into the top eight after a 2-0 win over Galatasaray, while Spurs finished fourth thanks to a 2-0 victory at Eintracht Frankfurt.
Spurs are winless in five league matches (D3 L2), however. It’s their fourth run of five or more winless games in the last two seasons. They only had four such runs across their previous 12 seasons combined.
A defeat here would mean Spurs have lost at least 10 games for eight consecutive seasons.
But Pep Guardiola will need no warning about the pitfalls of a trip to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, having lost more league games against Spurs (8) than versus any other team in his managerial career – including a 2-0 loss in August’s reverse fixture at the Etihad.
However, City are assigned a 46.9% win probability, compared to Spurs’ 28.7%, and it’s easy to see why given Frank’s return of 0.82 points per home game is the worst record of any Tottenham boss in Premier League history.
Monday 2 February
The action on MD24 is rounded off by a meeting between two promoted teams enjoying very different campaigns, as Sunderland welcome Burnley to the Stadium of Light on Monday.
Sunderland already have nine more points this season (33) than they accumulated throughout the entirety of their previous top-flight campaign in 2016-17 (24).
Burnley, meanwhile, are 10 points from safety and winless in their last 14 Premier League games (D5 L9); in their top-flight history, only from February 1889 to February 1890 have the Clarets ever endured a longer winless streak (19).
It’s no surprise, then, that Sunderland are comprehensive favourites with a 53.6% win probability, compared to Burnley’s 22.6%. The chance of a draw is marginally higher at 23.8%.
Following last week’s 3-1 defeat at West Ham, the Black Cats have lost two of their last three league games (W1), as many defeats as they suffered in their previous 13 (W4 D7), though they’re yet to lose consecutive matches in the competition all season.
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